Drought Likely To Persist In Dakotas

Latest long-range drought outlook doesn't contain good news.

Published on: Nov 1, 2012

Despite recent rain and snow, the outlook for reducing South Dakota's drought does not appear promising.

"Drought appears to be getting worse rather than better," says Laura Edwards, South Dakota State University Extension climate field specialist. "We have been hoping for improving our situation this fall, but the state is getting drier instead of wetter."

The latest long-range drought outlook depicts persisting drought into the winter season. This week's U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook shows the same forecast for most of the surrounding states of North Dakota, Montana, Wyoming, Nebraska, Iowa and southern Minnesota.

US Season Drought Outlook
US Season Drought Outlook

Edwards says according to the outlooks, there is a higher probability of above average temperatures through January.

 "This is combined with equal chances of above, below or near normal precipitation for November through January. One exception is the southeastern part of the state, which currently has higher probability of being drier than average through January," Edwards says.

Because the winter months are generally the driest of the year, Dennis Todey, SDSU state climatologist says it will be difficult to get much drought relief during the winter months, even in a normal year.

"We may see some short-term drought relief on and off throughout the winter, but folks should be prepared for this drought to carry into the spring," Todey says.

Laura Edwards, SDSU Extension climate field specialist, says the latest official long-range drought outlook calls for more dry weather through early winter.
Laura Edwards, SDSU Extension climate field specialist, says the latest official long-range drought outlook calls for more dry weather through early winter.

 He adds that last spring's soil moisture carried the crops in many areas of the state through the first several weeks of drought this year.

"South Dakota farmers won't have the same soil conditions going into the next planting season.  Winter wheat growers have already been impacted by the dry conditions, as emergence of that crop is currently far below the five year average," Todey says.

Source: SDSU