Cotton producers will plant 13.73 million acres to the crop this spring according to the National Cotton Council's 22nd Annual Early Planting Intentions Survey.
Upland cotton intentions are 13.48 million acres, a 0.5% increase from 2004 plantings. Extra long staple cotton (ELS) intentions of 255,000 acres represent a 2.3% rise from 2004. The results were announced at NCC's Annual Meeting which started today in Washington, DC.
With average abandonment, total upland and ELS harvested area will be about 12.35 million acres. Applying each state's trend yield to its 2005 projected harvested acres shows a crop of 18.86 million bales. That's 18.16 million bales of upland cotton and 691,000 bales of ELS cotton. This compares to 2004's total production of 23.01 million bales according to USDA's January report. Cottonseed production is projtected at 6.85 million tons, down from 8.41 million last year.
The NCC survey was mailed in mid-December of 2004 to about one-third of the producers across the 17-state Cotton Belt. Surveys had to be returned by mid-January.
Here's a look at the numbers in detail:
|
Prospective 2005 U.S. Cotton Crop |
|
|
2004 Actual (Thou.) 1/ |
2005 Intended (Thou.) 2/ |
Percent Change |
|
|
|
|
|
|
SOUTHEAST |
2,956 |
2,862 |
-3.2% |
|
Alabama |
550 |
530 |
-3.6% |
|
Florida |
89 |
84 |
-6.1% |
|
Georgia |
1,290 |
1,268 |
-1.7% |
|
North Carolina |
730 |
702 |
-3.9% |
|
South Carolina |
215 |
201 |
-6.3% |
|
Virginia |
82 |
78 |
-5.3% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
MID-SOUTH |
3,430 |
3,664 |
6.8% |
|
Arkansas |
910 |
926 |
1.7% |
|
Louisiana |
500 |
576 |
15.3% |
|
Mississippi |
1,110 |
1,199 |
8.1% |
|
Missouri |
380 |
418 |
10.0% |
|
Tennessee |
530 |
544 |
2.7% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
SOUTHWEST |
6,155 |
6,183 |
0.5% |
|
Kansas |
85 |
95 |
11.9% |
|
Oklahoma |
220 |
235 |
6.9% |
|
Texas |
5,850 |
5,852 |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
WEST |
868 |
770 |
-11.3% |
|
Arizona |
240 |
214 |
-10.7% |
|
California |
560 |
478 |
-14.7% |
|
New Mexico |
68 |
78 |
15.1% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL UPLAND |
13,409 |
13,479 |
0.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL ELS |
250 |
255 |
2.3% |
|
Arizona |
3 |
3 |
8.2% |
|
California |
215 |
223 |
3.6% |
|
New Mexico |
11 |
10 |
-6.8% |
|
Texas |
21 |
20 |
-6.3% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
ALL COTTON |
13,659 |
13,734 |
0.6% |
|
1/ USDA-NASS. |
|
2/ National Cotton Council. |
|
|